Sondeo: En CABA ya culpan a Macri por la crisis, pero volverían a votarlo

La última encuesta de Raúl Aragón se tituló “CABA después del FMI: pesimismo y resignación”. Ocurre que las respuestas de los consultados giraron alrededor de la desconfianza sobre la ayuda que pueda significar para el país el acuerdo firmado con el Fondo Monetario Internacional, el temor a la pérdida de empleo y la creencia de que la salida de la crisis demorará años. Quizás la resignación refiera a que Mauricio Macri sigue teniendo la mayor intención de voto a presidente para 2019.

Además, el trabajo realizado entre el 24 y el 28 de septiembre y conocido este lunes 1 de octubre de 2018, revela que los porteños empezaron a culpar de la actual situación a Macri. El 46,2 respondió que la responsabilidad es tanto del actual mandatario como de Cristina Kirchner. Un 20,5 sólo apunta a la expresidente y el 28,4 culpa exclusivamente a Macri.

Tampoco los porteños dejan de aceptar que estaba “mejor” con el Gobierno anterior. Lo reconoció la mayoría, el 53,2% contra un 27,3% que respondió estar igual y apenas el 16,2% que contestó que hoy está mejor que antes.

Sobre el acuerdo con el FMI, la mayoría (37,8%) afirmó que “nos va a hundir en una deuda que no vamos a poder pagar”. El 21,9% dijo que “le va a hacer mal al país” y sólo el 23,4% contestó que hará “bien”.

En tanto, sobre la situación personal. El 37% se expresó “totalmente preocupado” por perder su trabajo. El 8,6% y el 17,4% respondieron “muy preocupado” y “bastante preocupado” respectivamente. En tanto, sólo el 26,7% dijo estar “nada preocupado” por su situación laboral.

Ficha Técnica

Población: Mayores de 16 años residentes en la Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires en condiciones de votar.

Tamaño de la muestra: 603 casos efectivos.

Tipo de muestra: Aleatoria simple, con reposición, ponderada luego por cuotas de Género, NSE y Rango de Edad, con proporcionalidad según peso poblacional.

Márgen de error muestral: +/- 3.9 % (para P = 0.50).

Tipo de recolección de datos: Sistema CATI.

Instrumento de recolección de datos: Cuestionario cerrado.

Fechas del campo: Del 24 al 28 de septiembre de 2018.

Dirección: Raúl G. Aragón.

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